General Election Predictions

General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 56. London West

3 May 2017 at 22:35

LONDON WEST

Seats: 9
Current Political Makeup: Con 2, Lab 7
Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 4, Lab 5

Brentford & Isleworth

2010 Result:
Conservative: 20022 (37.2%)
Labour: 18064 (33.6%)
Lib Dem: 12718 (23.7%)
BNP: 704 (1.3%)
Green: 787 (1.5%)
UKIP: 863 (1.6%)
English Dem: 230 (0.4%)
Christian: 210 (0.4%)
Independent: 68 (0.1%)
Others: 99 (0.2%)
MAJORITY: 1958 (3.6%)

2015 Result:
Labour Ruth Cadbury9 25,096 43.8 +10.2
Conservative Mary Macleod 9 24,631 42.9 +5.7
UKIP Richard Hendron 10 3,203 5.6 +4.0
Liberal Democrat Joseph Bourke11 2,305 4.0 -19.6
Green Daniel Goldsmith 9 2,120 3.7 +2.2
Majority 465 0.8 n/a1
Turnout 57,355 67.8 +3.4

Leave Vote: 40.4%

Sitting MP: Ruth Cadbury (Lab)
Prediction: Conservative gain

A surefire Conservative gain here for the former MP who lost in 2010.

Chelsea & Fulham

2010 Result:
Conservative: 24093 (60.5%)
Labour: 7371 (18.5%)
Lib Dem: 6473 (16.2%)
BNP: 388 (1%)
Green: 671 (1.7%)
UKIP: 478 (1.2%)
English Dem: 169 (0.4%)
Others: 213 (0.5%)
MAJORITY: 16722 (42%)

2015 Result:
Conservative Greg Hands11 25,322 62.9 +2.5
Labour Alexandra Sanderson12 9,300 23.1 +4.6
Liberal Democrat Simon Bailey 2,091 5.2 -11
UKIP Adrian Noble12 2,039 5.1 +3.9
Green Guy Rubin13 1,474 3.7 +2
Majority 16,022 39.8
Turnout 40,226 63.4 +3.3

Leave Vote: 29.1%

Sitting MP: Greg Hands (Con)
Prediction: Conservative hold

Ealing Central & Acton

2010 Result:
Conservative: 17944 (38%)
Labour: 14228 (30.1%)
Lib Dem: 13041 (27.6%)
Green: 737 (1.6%)
UKIP: 765 (1.6%)
Christian: 295 (0.6%)
Others: 190 (0.4%)
MAJORITY: 3716 (7.9%)

2015 Result:
Labour Rupa Huq 22,002 43.2 +13.1
Conservative Angie Bray 21,728 42.7 +4.7
Liberal Democrat Jon Ball 3,106 6.1 −21.5
UKIP Peter Florence 1,926 3.8 +2.2
Green Tom Sharman15 1,841 3.6 +2.1
Independent Jonathan Notley 125 0.2 N/A
Workers Revolutionary Scott Dore 73 0.1 N/A
Above and Beyond Party Tammy Rendle 54 0.1 N/A
Europeans Party Andrzej Rygielski 39 0.1 N/A
Majority 274 0.5
Turnout 50,894 71.4 +3.9

Leave Vote: 29.1%

Sitting MP: Rupa Huq (Lab)
Prediction: Conservative gain

Even though the Greens aren’t standing here I find it difficult to think this seat won’t revert to the Conservatives, despite the heavy Remain vote.

Ealing North

2010 Result:
Conservative: 14722 (30.9%)
Labour: 24023 (50.4%)
Lib Dem: 6283 (13.2%)
BNP: 1045 (2.2%)
Green: 505 (1.1%)
UKIP: 685 (1.4%)
Christian: 415 (0.9%)
MAJORITY: 9301 (19.5%)

2015 Result:
Labour Stephen Pound 26,745 55.1 +4.7
Conservative Thomas O’Malley 14,419 29.7 −1.2
UKIP Afzal Akram 3,922 8.1 +6.6
Green Meena Hans5 1,635 3.4 +2.3
Liberal Democrat Kevin McNamara 1,575 3.2 −9.9
TUSC David Hofman 214 0.4 N/A
Majority 12,326 25.4 +5.9
Turnout 48,510 65.7 −4.5

Leave Vote: 48.6%

Sitting MP: Stephen Pound
Prediction: Labour hold

Ealing Southall

2010 Result:
Conservative: 12733 (29.8%)
Labour: 22024 (51.5%)
Lib Dem: 6383 (14.9%)
Green: 705 (1.6%)
English Dem: 408 (1%)
Christian: 503 (1.2%)
MAJORITY: 9291 (21.7%)

2015 Result:
Labour Virendra Sharma 28,147 65.0 +13.5
Conservative James Symes 9,387 21.7 −8.1
Green Jas Mahal7 2,007 4.6 +3.0
UKIP John Poynton 1,769 4.1 N/A
Liberal Democrat Kavya Kaushik 1,550 3.6 −11.4
NLP Jagdeesh Singh 461 1.1 N/A
Majority 18,760 43.3 +21.6
Turnout 43,321 66.1 −4.7

Leave Vote: 43.2%

Sitting MP: Virendra Sharma (Lab)
Prediction: Labour hold

Feltham & Heston

2010 Result:
Conservative: 16516 (34%)
Labour: 21174 (43.6%)
Lib Dem: 6679 (13.8%)
BNP: 1714 (3.5%)
Green: 530 (1.1%)
UKIP: 992 (2%)
Independent: 505 (1%)
Others: 426 (0.9%)
MAJORITY: 4658 (9.6%)

BY-ELECTION 2011
Seema Malhotra (Labour) 12639 54.4% (10.8%)
Mark Bowen (Conservative) 6436 27.7% (-6.3%)
Roger Crouch (Liberal Democrat) 1364 5.9% (-7.8%)
Andrew Charalambous (UKIP) 1276 5.5% (
3.5%)
Dave Furness (BNP) 540 2.3% (-1.2%)
Daniel Goldsmith (Green) 426 1.8% (0.7%)
Roger Cooper (English Democrats) 322 1.4% (n/a)
George Hallam (People Before Profit) 128 0.6% (n/a)
David Bishop (Buss Pass Elvis) 93 0.4% (n/a)
MAJORITY 6203 26.7% (
17.1%)
Turnout 28.8% (-31.1%)

2015 Result:
Labour Seema Malhotra 25,845 52.3 +8.7
Conservative Simon Nayyar 14,382 29.1 −4.9
UKIP Peter Dul 6,209 12.6 +10.5
Liberal Democrat Roger Crouch 1,579 3.2 −10.6
Green Tony Firkins 1,390 2.8 +1.7
Majority 11,463 23.2 −3.5
Turnout 49,405 60.0 +0.111

Sitting MP: Seema Malhotra (Lab)
Prediction: Labour hold

Hammersmith

2010 Result:
Conservative: 17261 (36.4%)
Labour: 20810 (43.9%)
Lib Dem: 7567 (15.9%)
BNP: 432 (0.9%)
Green: 696 (1.5%)
UKIP: 551 (1.2%)
Independent: 135 (0.3%)
MAJORITY: 3549 (7.5%)

2015 Result:
Labour Andy Slaughter 23,981 50.0 +6.1
Conservative Charlie Dewhirst10 17,463 36.4 0.0
Liberal Democrat Millicent Scott11 2,224 4.6 -11.3
Green David Akan12 2,105 4.4 +2.9
UKIP Richard Wood13 2,105 4.4 +3.2
Independent Stephen Brennan 82 0.2 +0.2
Majority 6,518 13.6 +6.1
Turnout 47,960 66.4 +0.8

Leave Vote: 31.3%

Sitting MP: Andy Slaughter (Lab)
Prediction: Labour hold

Hayes & Harlington

2010 Result:
Conservative: 12553 (29.4%)
Labour: 23377 (54.8%)
Lib Dem: 3726 (8.7%)
BNP: 1520 (3.6%)
Green: 348 (0.8%)
English Dem: 464 (1.1%)
Christian: 83 (0.2%)
Others: 566 (1.3%)
MAJORITY: 10824 (25.4%)

2015 Result:
Labour John McDonnell 26,843 59.6 +4.7
Conservative Pearl Lewis 11,143 24.7 −4.7
UKIP Cliff Dixon 5,388 12.0 N/A
Liberal Democrat Satnam Kaur Khalsa 888 2.0 −6.8
Green Alick Munro 794 1.8 +0.9
Majority 15,700 34.8 +9.4
Turnout 45,056 60.2 −0.5

Leave Vote: 58.2%

Sitting MP: John McDonnell
Prediction: Labour hold

Uxbridge & South Ruislip

2010 Result:
Conservative: 21758 (48.3%)
Labour: 10542 (23.4%)
Lib Dem: 8995 (20%)
BNP: 1396 (3.1%)
Green: 477 (1.1%)
UKIP: 1234 (2.7%)
English Dem: 403 (0.9%)
Others: 271 (0.6%)
MAJORITY: 11216 (24.9%)

2015 Result:
Conservative Boris Johnson 22,511 50.2 +1.9
Labour Chris Summers13 11,816 26.4 +3.0
UKIP Jack Duffin 6,346 14.2 +11.4
Liberal Democrat Michael Cox14 2,215 4.9 -15.0
Green Graham Lee15 1,414 3.2 +2.1
TUSC Gary Harbord 16 180 0.4 N/A
Independent Jenny Thompson17 84 0.2 N/A
Monster Raving Loony Howling Laud Hope18 72 0.2 N/A
Communities United Sabrina Moosun17 52 0.1 N/A
The Eccentric Party of Great Britain (UK) Lord Toby Jug17 50 0.1 N/A
Independent Michael Doherty17 39 0.1 N/A
The Realists` Party Jane Lawrence17 18 0.0 N/A
Independent James Jackson17 14 0.0 N/A
Majority 10,695 23.9 -1.0
Turnout 44,811 63.4 +0.1

Leave Vote: 57.2%

Sitting MP: Boris Johnson (Con)
Prediction: Conservative hold

If you’d like to see the rest of my seat by seat predictions, click HERE

Share: