New European Election Diary: Flies Undone on Newsnight
- 10 May 2017
I’m really not sure about this so-called ‘Progressive Alliance’. I mean, what’s progressive about subverting democracy? If a political party is serious about power it should stand in every seat. To pick and choose the seats you put up candidates in, based upon your dislike for...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: Final Totals - We're Heading for A Conservative Majority of 130ish
- 7 May 2017
Over the last three weeks I have been trying to predict the outcome of each of the 650 seats up for grabs at this election. Here is my final seat prediction… Conservative 392 (62) Labour 163 (-69) Liberal Democrats 16 (7) SNP 53 (-3) Plaid Cymru 5 (2) Green 2 (1) DUP 8 (-) UU...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 69. Tyne & Wear
- 7 May 2017
TYNE & WEAR Seats: 12 Current Political Makeup: Lab 12 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Lab 12 1. *Blaydon 2010 Result: Conservative: 7159 (15.9%) Labour: 22297 (49.6%) Lib Dem: 13180 (29.3%) BNP: 2277 (5.1%) MAJORITY: 9117 (20.3%) 2015 Result: Labour Dave And...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 68. Staffordshire
- 7 May 2017
STAFFORDSHIRE Seats: 12 Current Political Makeup: Con 8, Lab 4 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 11, Lab 1 1. Burton 2010 Result: Conservative: 22188 (44.5%) Labour: 15884 (31.9%) Lib Dem: 7891 (15.8%) BNP: 2409 (4.8%) UKIP: 1451 (2.9%) MAJORITY: 6304 (12.7%) ...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 67. London North West
- 7 May 2017
LONDON NORTH WEST Seats: 10 Current Political Makeup: Con 5 , Lab 5 Predicted Political Makeup after May 7: Con 7, Lab 3 Brent Central 2010 Result: Conservative: 5067 (11.2%) Labour: 18681 (41.2%) Lib Dem: 20026 (44.2%) Green: 668 (1.5%) Respect: 230 (0.5%) Christian: 488 ...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 66. London North East
- 7 May 2017
LONDON NORTH EAST Seats: 11 Current Political Makeup: Con 2, Lab 9 Predicted Political Makeup after May 7: Con 4, Lab 7 Chingford & Woodford Green 2010 Result: Conservative: 22743 (52.8%) Labour: 9780 (22.7%) Lib Dem: 7242 (16.8%) BNP: 1288 (3%) Green: 650 (1.5%) UKIP:...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 65. Derbyshire
- 7 May 2017
DERBYSHIRE Seats: 11 Current Political Makeup: Con 7, Labour 4 Predicted Political Makeup after May 7: Con 8, Lab 3 1. Amber Valley 2010 Result: Conservative: 17746 (38.6%) Labour: 17210 (37.4%) Lib Dem: 6636 (14.4%) BNP: 3195 (7%) UKIP: 906 (2%) Others: 265 (0.6%) MAJORIT...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 64: Northamptonshire
- 7 May 2017
NORTHAMPTONSHIRE Seats: 7 Current Political Makeup: Con 7 Predicted Political Makeup after May 7: Con 7 1. Corby 2010 Result: Conservative: 22886 (42.2%) Labour: 20991 (38.7%) Lib Dem: 7834 (14.4%) BNP: 2525 (4.7%) MAJORITY: 1895 (3.5%) BY ELECTION Andy Sawford (Labour) ...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 63: Leicestershire
- 7 May 2017
LEICESTERSHIRE Seats: 10 Current Political Makeup: Con 7, Lab 3 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 7, Lab 3 1. Bosworth 2010 Result: Conservative: 23132 (42.6%) Labour: 8674 (16%) Lib Dem: 18100 (33.3%) BNP: 2458 (4.5%) UKIP: 1098 (2%) English Dem: 615 (1.1%) Oth...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 62: Wiltshire
- 6 May 2017
WILTSHIRE Seats: 7 Current Political Makeup: Con 7 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 7 1. Chippenham 2010 Result: Conservative: 21500 (41%) Labour: 3620 (6.9%) Lib Dem: 23970 (45.8%) BNP: 641 (1.2%) Green: 446 (0.9%) UKIP: 1783 (3.4%) English Dem: 307 (0.6%) Chr...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 61. Surrey
- 6 May 2017
SURREY Seats: 11 Current Political Makeup: Con 11 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 11 1. East Surrey 2010 Result: Conservative: 31007 (56.7%) Labour: 4925 (9%) Lib Dem: 14133 (25.9%) UKIP: 3770 (6.9%) Independent: 383 (0.7%) Others: 422 (0.8%) MAJORITY: 16874 (...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 60. Berkshire
- 6 May 2017
BERKSHIRE Seats: 8 Current Political Makeup: Con 7, Lab 1 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 7, Lab 1 1. Bracknell 2010 Result: Conservative: 27327 (52.4%) Labour: 8755 (16.8%) Lib Dem: 11623 (22.3%) BNP: 1253 (2.4%) Green: 821 (1.6%) UKIP: 2297 (4.4%) Others: 60 ...
The Three Candidates (From Three Different Parties) I Am Going to Donate To In This Election
- 6 May 2017
Elections cost money. Contrary to popular rumour, most local candidates don’t have huge amounts of money to fund their campaigns. And they have to raise money to fund their campaigns. Each candidate (depending on the number of voters and whether the constituency is rural or ur...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 59. Hertfordshire
- 6 May 2017
HERTFORDSHIRE Seats: 11 Current Political Makeup: Con 11 Predicted Political Makeup after May 7: Con 11 1. Broxbourne 2010 Result: Conservative: 26844 (58.8%) Labour: 8040 (17.6%) Lib Dem: 6107 (13.4%) BNP: 2159 (4.7%) UKIP: 1890 (4.1%) English Dem: 618 (1.4%) MAJORITY: 188...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 58: Kent
- 6 May 2017
Seats: 17 Current Political Makeup: Con 17 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 17 1. Ashford 2010 Result: Conservative: 29878 (54.1%) Labour: 9204 (16.7%) Lib Dem: 12581 (22.8%) Green: 1014 (1.8%) UKIP: 2508 (4.5%) MAJORITY: 17297 (31.3%) 2015 Result: Conservative...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 57: Buckinghamshire
- 6 May 2017
BUCKINGHAMSHIRE Seats: 7 Current Political Makeup: Con 6, Speaker 1 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 6, Speaker 1 1. Aylesbury 2010 Result: Conservative: 27736 (52.2%) Labour: 6695 (12.6%) Lib Dem: 15118 (28.4%) UKIP: 3613 (6.8%) MAJORITY: 12618 (23.7%) 2015 R...
ConHome Diary: The Conservative Party Should Obey David Cameron's Maxim That "Sunlight is the Best Form of Disinfectant"
- 5 May 2017
Like most of you I have been following Mark Wallace’s tweets on candidate selections with massive interest. This site originally made its name, back in 2004, in blowing the lid off the secrecy behind Conservative candidate selections. Thirteen years on CCHQ is still shrouded i...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 56. London West
- 3 May 2017
LONDON WEST Seats: 9 Current Political Makeup: Con 2, Lab 7 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 4, Lab 5 Brentford & Isleworth 2010 Result: Conservative: 20022 (37.2%) Labour: 18064 (33.6%) Lib Dem: 12718 (23.7%) BNP: 704 (1.3%) Green: 787 (1.5%) UKIP: 863 (1...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 55. London - South East
- 3 May 2017
Seats: 12 Current Political Makeup: Con 5, Lab 7 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 6 , Lab 5, LibDem 1 Revised: Con 6, Lab 6 Beckenham 2010 Result: Conservative: 27597 (57.9%) Labour: 6893 (14.5%) Lib Dem: 9813 (20.6%) BNP: 1001 (2.1%) Green: 608 (1.3%) UKIP: 15...
ALERT: Join Shelagh Fogarty And Me For LBC's Local Election Night Show
- 3 May 2017
I hope you’ll join Shelagh Fogarty and me for LBC’s Local Election Night Show from 10pm on Thursday evening. We’re going right through until 4am covering the county counil results and some of the mayoral contests. Between 10pm and midnight, joining us live in the studio will...