General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 21. West Glamorgan
- 29 Apr 2017
WEST GLAMORGAN Seats: 5 Current Political Makeup: Con 1, Lab 4 Predicted Political Makeup after May 7: Con 1, Lab 4 1. Aberavon 2010 Result: Conservative: 4411 (14.2%) Labour: 16073 (51.9%) Lib Dem: 5034 (16.3%) Plaid Cymru: 2198 (7.1%) BNP: 1276 (4.1%) UKIP: 489 (1.6%) In...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 20. London South
- 28 Apr 2017
LONDON SOUTH Seats: 9 Current Political Makeup: Con 2, Lab 6, LibDem 1 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 4, Lab 5 Camberwell & Peckham 2010 Result: Conservative: 6080 (13%) Labour: 27619 (59.2%) Lib Dem: 10432 (22.4%) Green: 1361 (2.9%) English Dem: 435 (0.9...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 19. Birmingham
- 28 Apr 2017
Birmingham Seats: 9 Current Political Makeup: Lab 8 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 3, Lab 5 1. Birmingham Edgbaston 2010 Result: Conservative: 15620 (37.6%) Labour: 16894 (40.6%) Lib Dem: 6387 (15.4%) BNP: 1196 (2.9%) Green: 469 (1.1%) UKIP: 732 (1.8%) Christ...
ConHome Diary: Is Boris Really Being Hidden Away From the Electorate & Has Labour Bottomed Out?
- 28 Apr 2017
The very idea that Theresa May will seek to hide Boris Johnson away during the election is preposterous. I yield to no one in my admiration of the election coverage from The Times. It’s the one newspaper I buy every day. However, this week the paper seems to have developed som...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 18. West Midlands
- 27 Apr 2017
WEST MIDLANDS Seats 19 Current Political Makeup: Con 7, Lab 12 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 14, Lab 5 Revised: Con 13, Lab 6 1. Aldridge & Brownhills 2010 Result: Conservative: 22913 (59.3%) Labour: 7647 (19.8%) Lib Dem: 6833 (17.7%) Green: 847 (2.2%) C...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 17. Northern Ireland
- 27 Apr 2017
NORTHERN IRELAND Seats: 18 Current Political Makeup: DUP 8, Sinn Fein 4, UUP 2, SDLP 3, Independent 1 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: DUP 8, Sinn Fein 5, UUP 1, SDLP 3, Independent 1 1. Belfast East Naomi Long (Alliance) 12,839 (37.2%, +26.1%) Peter Robinson (DUP)...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 16. Teesside
- 27 Apr 2017
TEESSIDE Seats: 6 Current Political Makeup: Con 1, Lab 5 Predicted Political Makeup after May 7: Con 3, Lab 3 1. Hartlepool 2010 Result: Conservative: 10758 (28.1%) Labour: 16267 (42.5%) Lib Dem: 6533 (17.1%) BNP: 2002 (5.2%) UKIP: 2682 (7%) MAJORITY: 5509 (14.4%) 2015 Re...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 15. County Durham
- 27 Apr 2017
COUNTY DURHAM Seats: 7 Current Political Makeup: Lab 7 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 2, Lab 5 1. Bishop Auckland 2010 Result: Conservative: 10805 (26.3%) Labour: 16023 (39%) Lib Dem: 9189 (22.3%) BNP: 2036 (4.9%) UKIP: 1119 (2.7%) Others: 1964 (4.8%) MAJORIT...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 14: Wales - South Glamorgan
- 26 Apr 2017
SOUTH GLAMORGAN Seats: 5 Current Political Makeup: Con 2, Lab 3 Predicted Political Makeup after May 8: Con 4, LibDem 1 Revised: Con 2, Lab 3 1. Cardiff Central 2010 Result: Conservative: 7799 (21.6%) Labour: 10400 (28.8%) Lib Dem: 14976 (41.4%) Plaid Cymru: 1246 (3.4%) G...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 13. Bristol & Surrounds
- 26 Apr 2017
Bristol & Surrounds Seats: 11 Current Political Makeup: Con 8, Lab 3 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 8 , LibDem 2, Green 1 Revised: Con 9, Lab 1, Green 1 * 1. Bath* 2010 Result: Conservative: 14768 (31.4%) Labour: 3251 (6.9%) Lib Dem: 26651 (56.6%) Green: 1...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 12. Gloucestershire
- 25 Apr 2017
Seats: 6 Current Political Makeup: Con 6, LibDem 0 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 5, LibDem 1 Revised: Con 6 1. Cheltenham 2010 Result: Conservative: 21739 (41.2%) Labour: 2703 (5.1%) Lib Dem: 26659 (50.5%) UKIP: 1192 (2.3%) Others: 493 (0.9%) MAJORITY: 4920 (...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 11. Suffolk
- 25 Apr 2017
SUFFOLK Number of Seats: 7 Current Political Makeup: Conservative, 7 Prediction for 2017: Conservative 7 1. Bury St Edmunds 2010 Result: Conservative: 27899 (47.5%) Labour: 9776 (16.6%) Lib Dem: 15519 (26.4%) Green: 2521 (4.3%) UKIP: 3003 (5.1%) MAJORITY: 12380 (21.1%) 2015...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 10. Wales - Dyfed
- 24 Apr 2017
DYFED Seats: 5 Current Political Makeup: Con 2, LibDem 1, Lab 1, PC 1 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 2, LibDem 1, Lab 1, PC 1 1. Carmarthen East & Dinefwr 2010 Result: Conservative: 8506 (22.4%) Labour: 10065 (26.5%) Lib Dem: 4609 (12.1%) Plaid Cymru: 135...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 9. Bedfordshire
- 24 Apr 2017
Seats: 6 Current Political Makeup: Con 4, Lab 2 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 5, Lab 1 Revised: Con 4, Lab 2 BEDFORDSHIRE 1. Bedford 2010 Result: Conservative: 17546 (38.9%) Labour: 16193 (35.9%) Lib Dem: 8957 (19.9%) BNP: 757 (1.7%) Green: 393 (0.9%) UKIP: ...
My 20 Pieces of Advice to First Time General Election Candidates
- 24 Apr 2017
This is a rehash of a blog I wrote at the beginning of the 2010 election campaign, having just re-read my blogposts from the 2005 election, when I was Conservative candidate in North Norfolk. The experience brought back lots of memories – not all of them bad! But it did make ...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 8. Northumberland
- 24 Apr 2017
NORTHUMBERLAND Seats: 4 Current Political Makeup: Con 2, Lab 2 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 2, Lab 2 1. Berwick upon Tweed 2010 Result: Conservative: 14116 (36.7%) Labour: 5061 (13.2%) Lib Dem: 16806 (43.7%) BNP: 1213 (3.2%) UKIP: 1243 (3.2%) MAJORITY: 2690...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 7: Central London
- 24 Apr 2017
LONDON CENTRAL Seats: 6 Current Political Makeup: Con 2, Lab 4 Predicted Political Makeup after May 8: Con 3, Lab 3 Cities of London & Westminster 2010 Result: Conservative: 19264 (52.2%) Labour: 8188 (22.2%) Lib Dem: 7574 (20.5%) Green: 778 (2.1%) UKIP: 664 (1.8%) E...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 6: Scotland - Borders & Ayrshire
- 23 Apr 2017
Scotland – Borders & Ayrshire Seats: 7 Current Political Makeup: SNP 6, Con 1 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: SNP 4, Con 3 North Ayshire & Arran 2010 Result: Conservative: 7212 (15.6%) Labour: 21860 (47.4%) Lib Dem: 4630 (10%) SNP: 11965 (25.9%) Others:...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 5: Wales - Gwynedd & Powys
- 23 Apr 2017
Gwynedd Seats: 3 Current Political Makeup: Lab 1, Plaid Cymru 2 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Plaid Cymru 3 1. Arfon 2010 Result: Conservative: 4416 (16.9%) Labour: 7928 (30.4%) Lib Dem: 3666 (14.1%) Plaid Cymru: 9383 (36%) UKIP: 685 (2.6%) MAJORITY: 1455 (5.6%)...
General Election 2017 Seat by Seat Predictions: 4. Somerset
- 22 Apr 2017
SOMERSET Seats: 5 Current Political Makeup: Con 5 Predicted Political Makeup after June 8: Con 5 1. Bridgwater & Somerset West 2010 Result: Conservative: 24675 (45.3%) Labour: 9332 (17.1%) Lib Dem: 15426 (28.3%) BNP: 1282 (2.4%) Green: 859 (1.6%) UKIP: 2604 (4.8%) Inde...