Articles tagged General Election Predictions:

Revised General Election Predictions for Yorkshire & the North East

  • 21 Mar 2015

There are 56 constituencies in Yorkshire, Humberside and the North East. In January I made the following predictions… Conservative 20 Labour 60 LibDem 2 I have only one change to make to those predictions. Great Grimsby Conservative: 10063 (30.5%) Labour: 10777 (32.7%) Lib...

Revised General Election Predictions for the West Midlands

  • 21 Mar 2015

There are 59 constituencies in the West Midlands, which includes Birmingham and surrounds, Staffordshire, Warwickshire, Herefordshire, Worcestershire and Shropshire. In January I predicted the parties would end up with… Conservative 29 Labour 30 This really is a key battleg...

Revised General Election Predictions for Wales

  • 17 Mar 2015

There are 40 parliamentary constituencies in Wales. In my original predictions I only predicted two changes in the political make-up, Cardiff Central and Cardiff North, both to Labour from the LibDems and the Conservatives. This is how Wales looked then… Conservative 7 Labour...

Revised General Election Predictions for London

  • 17 Mar 2015

There are 73 parliamentary seats in London. If Ed Miliband is to form a government he needs to make many gains in the capital. As things stand, this is the state of the parties Conservative 28 Labour 38 LibDem 7 In my January predictions I predicted Conservative 26 Labour ...

Revised General Election Predictions for the East Midlands

  • 17 Mar 2015

There are 46 parliamentary constituencies in the five counties that make up the East Midlands – Northamptonshire, Lincolnshire, Leicestershire, Nottinghamshire and Derbyshire. In January I predicted the results would be as follows… Conservative 23 Labour 22 UKIP 1 I am maki...

I've Revised My General Election Predictions For Scotland & It Means a Minority Government Looms Ever More Likely

  • 15 Mar 2015

Back in January and early February I carried out seat by seat predictions in all 650 parliamentary constituencies. I promised to revisit these predictions in March and late April. I am going to start that process now by looking at Scotland. Back in February I predicted Labour ...

Nick Clegg Takes Me To Task For My LibDem Seat Prediction

  • 18 Jan 2015

Oh Nick, Nick Nick. Much to my surprise Andrew Marr quoted my prediction from the Independent on Sunday that… The one prediction I am 100% confident in making is that the Liberal Democrats will lose more than half of their seats. Now, I do have form on getting LibDem s...

General Election Predictions 75: Teesside

  • 18 Jan 2015

This is the seventy-fifth in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each ...

General Election Predictions 74: Tyne & Wear

  • 17 Jan 2015

This is the seventy-fourth in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each...

General Election Predictions 73: Northern Ireland (Part 2)

  • 16 Jan 2015

This is the seventy-third in a series of blogposts (scroll to the bottom of the article for the others) which will seek to predict the outcome of every seat in the run-up to the next general election. The notion of a universal swing in May 2015 can be totally discounted. Each ...